Re: WATKINS and NORTHCUT
"Republice of Texas: Poll Lists for 1846", compiled by Marion Day Mullins, shows the following:
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James W. Northcut -- Shelby Co, TX
N.W. Northcut -- Shelby Co, TX.
J.W.C. Northcut -- Washington Co, TX.
Lewis Watkins -- Shelby Co, TX
B.R. Watkins -- Shelby Co. TX
You may already have this info, but does show they were there even prior to 1850 census.