Do I think you jump to conclusions that are insufficiently demonstrated by the facts you uncover?
Yes, but most beginners fall victim to that insidious trap. I did, myself, over 30-something years ago when I first started. I trust that I've learned over the decades to apply more exacting standards to my research. And above all, not promulgate plausable theories that have been demonstrated to be without a shred of solid evidence.
What you most need to learn how to do is to present your as-yet-unproved theories as just that: theories. Not facts!
Yet you continue to present every tidbit you discover as 'proof positive' that your previously defined theory regarding your ancestor is/was gospel truth.